National Security by the Numbers: Why We Should Redouble Efforts to Express Analytic Certainty

Harvard National Security Journal | September 3, 2012 | By Manik Suri

Over the past decade, national security policymakers have encouraged greater use of numbers, probabilities and estimative language to enhance intelligence and improve decision-making. Such efforts should be praised, yet they suffer from serious shortcomings that still need to be addressed. Read the full piece here.